Line Analysis: Market Line: -40.75 | Our Predicted Line: -42 | Edge: 0 points
While West Virginia's 1470 ELO rating suggests they should easily handle an FCS opponent, the 40+ point spread creates too much variance to identify meaningful value. Without Robert Morris advanced stats or ELO data, proper modeling is impossible, making this a clear pass despite the obvious talent disparity.
This matchup features West Virginia as massive 40+ point home favorites against FCS opponent Robert Morris, which makes it essentially unbettable despite the obvious talent gap. While the Mountaineers should absolutely demolate Robert Morris based on the division difference alone, spreads this large become incredibly difficult to predict because of how games unfold in garbage time. West Virginia could easily build a huge lead and then coast with backups, or they might keep their starters in longer to work on things in their season opener. The lack of any meaningful data on Robert Morris makes it impossible to gauge whether they'll be competitive enough to keep this within the massive spread or get completely blown out. With so many unknowns and such an enormous number to cover, this is a clear stay-away game regardless of which side might seem appealing.